{"id":30328,"date":"2026-11-12T15:07:42","date_gmt":"2026-11-12T08:07:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/?p=30328"},"modified":"2026-11-12T15:07:42","modified_gmt":"2026-11-12T08:07:42","slug":"rupiah-tembus-rp18240-per-dolar-bi-turun-tangan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/rupiah-tembus-rp18240-per-dolar-bi-turun-tangan-30328\/","title":{"rendered":"Rupiah Tembus Rp18.240 per Dolar, BI Turun Tangan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rupiah kembali melemah hingga mencetak rekor terendah terhadap dolar Amerika Serikat pada Kamis, 12 November 2026. Nilai tukar rupiah sempat mencapai sekitar Rp18.242 per dolar AS, melampaui rekor sebelumnya di Rp18.190 yang tercatat pada awal Juni.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pelemahan tersebut terjadi ketika dolar AS menguat di tengah ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga Federal Reserve (The Fed), sementara kekhawatiran terhadap potensi perubahan status pasar modal Indonesia dalam indeks MSCI turut membebani sentimen investor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bank Indonesia (BI) merespons tekanan tersebut dengan melakukan intervensi di pasar valuta asing dan obligasi pemerintah untuk menjaga stabilitas nilai tukar rupiah.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_89 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Daftar Isi <\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/rupiah-tembus-rp18240-per-dolar-bi-turun-tangan-30328\/#Rupiah_Cetak_Rekor_Terendah_BI_Intervensi_Pasar\" >Rupiah Cetak Rekor Terendah, BI Intervensi Pasar\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/rupiah-tembus-rp18240-per-dolar-bi-turun-tangan-30328\/#Dolar_Menguat_Ekspektasi_Kenaikan_Suku_Bunga_The_Fed_Meningkat\" >Dolar Menguat, Ekspektasi Kenaikan Suku Bunga The Fed Meningkat\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/rupiah-tembus-rp18240-per-dolar-bi-turun-tangan-30328\/#Ancaman_MSCI_Tambah_Tekanan_pada_Saham_Indonesia\" >Ancaman MSCI Tambah Tekanan pada Saham Indonesia\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/rupiah-tembus-rp18240-per-dolar-bi-turun-tangan-30328\/#Ketidakpastian_Politik_dan_Arus_Modal_Jadi_Perhatian\" >Ketidakpastian Politik dan Arus Modal Jadi Perhatian\u00a0<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rupiah_Cetak_Rekor_Terendah_BI_Intervensi_Pasar\"><\/span><b>Rupiah Cetak Rekor Terendah, BI Intervensi Pasar\u00a0<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rupiah melemah hingga sekitar 0,5% ke kisaran Rp18.241-Rp18.242 per dolar AS pada perdagangan Kamis, berdasarkan laporan Bloomberg dan Investing.com.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Level tersebut melewati rekor terendah sebelumnya sebesar Rp18.190 per dolar AS yang tercatat pada awal Juni 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sepanjang tahun berjalan, rupiah telah terdepresiasi lebih dari 8% terhadap dolar AS, menjadikannya mata uang dengan kinerja terlemah di Asia pada 2026 menurut laporan Bloomberg.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tekanan tidak hanya terjadi pada pasar valuta asing. Imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah Indonesia tenor 10 tahun turut naik empat basis poin menjadi 7,66%, mencerminkan tekanan pada harga surat utang.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Untuk meredam volatilitas, Bank Indonesia melakukan intervensi melalui sejumlah instrumen, meliputi pasar spot, <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Domestic Non-Deliverable Forward <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(DNDF), <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Non-Deliverable Forward <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">(NDF) <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">offshore<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, serta pembelian surat berharga negara di pasar sekunder.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Langkah tersebut bertujuan menjaga stabilitas rupiah agar pergerakannya tetap sejalan dengan kondisi fundamental perekonomian.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BI juga menyatakan terus memantau perkembangan pasar keuangan dan arus modal keluar, terutama setelah meningkatnya kekhawatiran investor terhadap prospek pasar modal Indonesia.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dolar_Menguat_Ekspektasi_Kenaikan_Suku_Bunga_The_Fed_Meningkat\"><\/span><b>Dolar Menguat, Ekspektasi Kenaikan Suku Bunga The Fed Meningkat\u00a0<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tekanan terhadap rupiah turut dipicu penguatan dolar AS setelah pelaku pasar menyesuaikan ekspektasi terhadap kebijakan moneter Federal Reserve.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pada 11 November, dolar AS dilaporkan mencapai level tertinggi dalam 18 bulan, didorong komentar pejabat The Fed yang cenderung mendukung kebijakan moneter ketat serta data inflasi AS yang melampaui perkiraan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Perkembangan tersebut meningkatkan ekspektasi bahwa The Fed akan kembali menaikkan suku bunga pada Desember.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pasar bahkan mulai memperhitungkan kemungkinan, meskipun masih relatif kecil, kenaikan suku bunga sebesar 50 basis poin atau 0,5 poin persentase.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Prospek suku bunga AS yang lebih tinggi dapat meningkatkan daya tarik aset berbasis dolar, termasuk obligasi pemerintah AS, sehingga menambah tekanan terhadap mata uang negara berkembang.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bagi Indonesia, perubahan ekspektasi tersebut terjadi ketika sentimen investor terhadap aset domestik masih lemah akibat tekanan pasar saham, arus keluar modal asing, dan ketidakpastian politik.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kombinasi faktor eksternal dan domestik tersebut membuat rupiah lebih rentan terhadap perubahan sentimen global.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ancaman_MSCI_Tambah_Tekanan_pada_Saham_Indonesia\"><\/span><b>Ancaman MSCI Tambah Tekanan pada Saham Indonesia\u00a0<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Selain penguatan dolar, pasar keuangan Indonesia menghadapi kekhawatiran terhadap kemungkinan perubahan klasifikasi pasar oleh MSCI, penyedia indeks saham global yang menjadi acuan banyak investor institusional.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pada Oktober 2026, MSCI mengajukan proposal yang berpotensi mengubah klasifikasi Indonesia menjadi pasar independen atau <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">standalone market<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Perkembangan ini meningkatkan kekhawatiran terhadap kemungkinan berkurangnya keterwakilan saham Indonesia dalam indeks global.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pada Rabu, 11 November, MSCI juga mengumumkan penghapusan dua perusahaan Indonesia, yakni Barito Pacific (BRPT) dan Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS), dari indeks globalnya, efektif mulai 30 November 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Keputusan tersebut menambah tekanan terhadap pasar saham domestik yang sebelumnya telah mengalami aksi jual besar-besaran.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Menurut Investing.com, Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) telah turun lebih dari 40% sepanjang 2026, menjadikannya salah satu pasar saham utama dengan kinerja terburuk secara global.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pelemahan tersebut terutama dipengaruhi arus keluar investor asing dan kekhawatiran terhadap kualitas serta transparansi pasar modal Indonesia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pemerintah dan regulator pasar modal telah mengambil sejumlah langkah untuk merespons perhatian MSCI, termasuk meningkatkan pengawasan terhadap manipulasi saham, memperketat perlakuan terhadap saham dengan kepemilikan terkonsentrasi, dan memperluas pengungkapan afiliasi pemegang saham.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meski demikian, investor masih menunggu hasil evaluasi MSCI yang dijadwalkan diumumkan pada akhir Juni 2027.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Goldman Sachs memperkirakan potensi arus keluar dana investasi pasif sekitar US$5,6 miliar apabila saham Indonesia dikeluarkan dari indeks MSCI. Perkiraan tersebut merupakan skenario risiko, bukan jumlah dana yang telah keluar dari pasar.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ketidakpastian_Politik_dan_Arus_Modal_Jadi_Perhatian\"><\/span><b>Ketidakpastian Politik dan Arus Modal Jadi Perhatian\u00a0<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tekanan terhadap rupiah juga terjadi di tengah meningkatnya ketidakpastian politik domestik setelah <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/blog\/berita\/gagasan-bitcoin-gibran-g20-30241\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">pengunduran diri Wakil Presiden Gibran Rakabuming Raka<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Perkembangan tersebut menambah kehati-hatian investor yang sebelumnya telah menghadapi kekhawatiran mengenai prospek pasar modal dan stabilitas aset Indonesia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meski sejumlah analis menilai dampak fundamental langsung dari perkembangan politik tersebut kemungkinan terbatas, situasi ini tetap menjadi faktor tambahan yang memengaruhi persepsi risiko investor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ke depan, pergerakan rupiah akan dipengaruhi kombinasi kebijakan Bank Indonesia, arah suku bunga The Fed, arus modal asing, dan perkembangan evaluasi MSCI terhadap pasar saham Indonesia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bagi investor, penguatan dolar AS dan kenaikan imbal hasil obligasi juga perlu dicermati karena dapat memengaruhi biaya pendanaan, pergerakan aset berisiko, serta nilai investasi dalam mata uang asing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Stabilitas rupiah dalam beberapa waktu mendatang akan bergantung pada kemampuan intervensi BI meredam volatilitas, perkembangan kebijakan moneter global, serta perbaikan kepercayaan investor terhadap pasar domestik.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"background: linear-gradient(135deg,#19233F 0%,#292967 100%); border-radius: 18px; padding: 26px 24px; margin: 32px 0; box-sizing: border-box; text-align: left;\">\n<div style=\"display: inline-block; background: #303A59; border: 1px solid #56617D; border-radius: 999px; padding: 7px 14px; margin-bottom: 15px; color: #eaf0ff; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.4;\">GLOBAL MARKET WATCH \u2022 NANOVEST<\/div>\n<p style=\"margin: 0 0 11px; color: #ffffff; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 800;\">Rupiah Tertekan, Saatnya Pantau Pasar Global?<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0 0 21px; color: #dce2f5; font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.7;\">Rupiah mencetak rekor terendah di tengah penguatan dolar AS dan tekanan pasar domestik. Pantau peluang diversifikasi melalui saham Amerika di Nanovest, serta ikuti perkembangan nilai tukar, kebijakan The Fed, dan berita pasar global terbaru lewat News &amp; Artikel Tips!<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 12px; align-items: center;\">\n<p><a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #7C3AED; color: #ffffff; text-decoration: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; padding: 12px 19px; border-radius: 9px; text-align: center; line-height: 1.5;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Jelajahi Saham AS di Nanovest \u2192<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #FFFFFF; color: #292967; text-decoration: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; padding: 12px 19px; border-radius: 9px; text-align: center; line-height: 1.5;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/blog\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">News &amp; Artikel Tips \u2192<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rupiah kembali melemah hingga mencetak rekor terendah terhadap dolar Amerika Serikat pada Kamis, 12 November 2026. Nilai tukar rupiah sempat mencapai sekitar Rp18.242 per dolar AS, melampaui rekor sebelumnya di Rp18.190 yang tercatat pada awal Juni. Pelemahan tersebut terjadi ketika dolar AS menguat di tengah ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga Federal Reserve (The Fed), sementara kekhawatiran<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":30329,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[80],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-berita"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.3 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Rupiah anjlok ke rekor Rp18.242 per dolar AS pada 12 November 2026. 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