{"id":29552,"date":"2026-11-04T12:23:40","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T05:23:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/?p=29552"},"modified":"2026-11-04T12:23:40","modified_gmt":"2026-11-04T05:23:40","slug":"penjualan-mcdonalds-q3-2026-diprediksi-turun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/penjualan-mcdonalds-q3-2026-diprediksi-turun-29552\/","title":{"rendered":"Penjualan McDonald\u2019s Q3 2026 Diprediksi Turun di AS"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Penjualan <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/saham-amerika\/MCD\/\"><b>McDonald\u2019s (MCD)<\/b><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> diperkirakan masih tumbuh secara global pada kuartal III 2026.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Di AS, ceritanya berbeda. Setelah mencatat pertumbuhan pada kuartal sebelumnya, penjualan sebanding di pasar terbesarnya diproyeksikan berbalik turun. Laporan dijadwalkan terbit sebelum bursa AS dibuka pada Rabu, 4 November 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Buat investor MCD, pertanyaannya lebih spesifik: apakah menu baru dan promo membuat pelanggan lebih sering datang, atau mereka hanya belanja lebih banyak setiap kali memesan? Hasil Q2 menunjukkan dua hal itu bisa bergerak ke arah yang berbeda.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_89 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Daftar Isi <\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/penjualan-mcdonalds-q3-2026-diprediksi-turun-29552\/#Penjualan_McDonalds_Diprediksi_Tumbuh_14_secara_Global\" >Penjualan McDonald\u2019s Diprediksi Tumbuh 1,4% secara Global<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/penjualan-mcdonalds-q3-2026-diprediksi-turun-29552\/#Kunjungan_Turun_Kenapa_Penjualan_Bisa_Tetap_Tumbuh\" >Kunjungan Turun, Kenapa Penjualan Bisa Tetap Tumbuh?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/penjualan-mcdonalds-q3-2026-diprediksi-turun-29552\/#Minuman_Baru_Masuk_Q3_Promo_Oktober_Masuk_Q4\" >Minuman Baru Masuk Q3, Promo Oktober Masuk Q4<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/penjualan-mcdonalds-q3-2026-diprediksi-turun-29552\/#Pendapatan_dan_Laba_McDonalds_Masih_Diproyeksikan_Naik\" >Pendapatan dan Laba McDonald\u2019s Masih Diproyeksikan Naik<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/penjualan-mcdonalds-q3-2026-diprediksi-turun-29552\/#Apa_yang_Perlu_Dipantau_Investor_Saham_MCD\" >Apa yang Perlu Dipantau Investor Saham MCD?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Penjualan_McDonalds_Diprediksi_Tumbuh_14_secara_Global\"><\/span><b>Penjualan McDonald\u2019s Diprediksi Tumbuh 1,4% secara Global<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Menurut konsensus Bloomberg yang dikutip Yahoo Finance, penjualan sebanding global McDonald\u2019s diperkirakan tumbuh 1,4% dibanding Q3 2025, saat pertumbuhannya mencapai 3,6%. Di AS, konsensus memperkirakan penurunan 0,5%, setelah tumbuh 2,4% pada Q3 tahun lalu.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kata <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">melambat<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> di sini merujuk pada perbandingan laju pertumbuhan tahunan. Jika dibandingkan dengan Q2 2026, proyeksi global 1,4% justru sedikit di atas realisasi 1,3% pada kuartal tersebut. Perubahan yang lebih jelas ada di AS: dari pertumbuhan 0,8% pada Q2 menjadi proyeksi penurunan 0,5% pada Q3.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Kunjungan_Turun_Kenapa_Penjualan_Bisa_Tetap_Tumbuh\"><\/span><b>Kunjungan Turun, Kenapa Penjualan Bisa Tetap Tumbuh?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Placer.ai memperkirakan total kunjungan ke McDonald\u2019s di AS turun 4,6% pada Q3 2026. Untuk gerai yang sebanding, estimasi penurunannya mencapai 5,1%. Angka itu mengukur kunjungan versi Placer.ai, sedangkan McDonald\u2019s menggunakan jumlah transaksi untuk menghitung <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">comparable guest counts<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Jadi, penurunan kunjungan 5,1% tidak bisa langsung dibaca sebagai penurunan transaksi atau penjualan sebesar 5,1%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hasil Q2 memberi contoh konkretnya. Penjualan sebanding McDonald\u2019s di AS naik 0,8% meski jumlah transaksi sebanding turun. Rata-rata nilai pesanan yang lebih tinggi, antara lain karena perubahan komposisi produk yang dibeli, membantu menahan dampak penurunan transaksi. Saat laporan Q3 terbit, dua angka ini bisa membantu menjelaskan apakah tekanan datang dari pelanggan yang lebih jarang membeli atau dari belanja yang lebih kecil per pesanan.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Minuman_Baru_Masuk_Q3_Promo_Oktober_Masuk_Q4\"><\/span><b>Minuman Baru Masuk Q3, Promo Oktober Masuk Q4<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">McDonald\u2019s mulai menjual enam minuman baru di AS pada 6 Mei 2026, termasuk <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Refreshers<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> dan soda dengan tambahan rasa. Pada 17 Agustus, perusahaan menambah pilihan rasa dan meluncurkan Red Bull Dragonberry Energizer. Artinya, menu awal sudah tersedia sebelum Q3 dimulai, sedangkan tambahan Agustus baru masuk di tengah kuartal. Dampaknya terhadap penjualan belum bisa dipisahkan dari angka penjualan sebanding saja.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Menurut Placer.ai, promosi Monopoly dan Boo Bucket membantu McDonald\u2019s mencatat minggu-minggu dengan kunjungan tertinggi sepanjang 2026 hingga awal November. Kenaikan itu terjadi pada Oktober, setelah Q3 berakhir pada 30 September. Data tersebut memberi petunjuk awal untuk Q4, tetapi belum menunjukkan apakah kunjungan akan bertahan setelah promo berakhir.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Pendapatan_dan_Laba_McDonalds_Masih_Diproyeksikan_Naik\"><\/span><b>Pendapatan dan Laba McDonald\u2019s Masih Diproyeksikan Naik<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Konsensus Bloomberg yang dikutip Yahoo Finance memperkirakan pendapatan McDonald\u2019s mencapai US$7,4 miliar, dengan laba per saham disesuaikan sebesar US$3,67. Pada Q3 2025, McDonald\u2019s membukukan pendapatan sekitar US$7,08 miliar dan laba per saham disesuaikan US$3,22.<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/markets\/stocks\/article\/mcdonalds-q3-sales-expected-to-slow-amid-tough-consumer-backdrop-new-drinks-push-203324649.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pendapatan perusahaan masih bisa naik meski penjualan sebanding di AS turun. Penjualan sebanding AS hanya mencakup kinerja gerai yang memenuhi kriteria di satu pasar. Sementara itu, pendapatan konsolidasi mencakup penjualan restoran yang dikelola McDonald\u2019s serta pendapatan dari jaringan waralaba dan pemegang lisensi di berbagai pasar.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Apa_yang_Perlu_Dipantau_Investor_Saham_MCD\"><\/span><b>Apa yang Perlu Dipantau Investor Saham MCD?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Saat laporan keluar, perhatikan apakah McDonald\u2019s menjelaskan berapa besar perubahan penjualan AS yang berasal dari jumlah transaksi dan berapa besar yang berasal dari rata-rata nilai pesanan. Jika transaksi masih turun meski nilai pesanan naik, berarti kenaikan belanja per pesanan masih menutupi tekanan pada jumlah transaksi, seperti yang terjadi pada Q2.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Untuk Q4, komentar manajemen soal kunjungan setelah promo Oktober dan margin operasi layak diperhatikan. Lonjakan kunjungan memberi gambaran tentang respons pelanggan terhadap promo. Laporan keuangan dan komentar manajemen bisa memberi konteks tambahan: apakah pelanggan tetap datang setelah promo selesai dan bagaimana penjualan itu berkontribusi terhadap laba.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"background: linear-gradient(135deg,#19233F 0%,#292967 100%); border-radius: 18px; padding: 28px 24px; margin: 32px 0; box-sizing: border-box; text-align: left;\">\n<div style=\"display: inline-block; background: #303A59; border: 1px solid #56617D; border-radius: 999px; padding: 7px 14px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #eaf0ff; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.4;\">\ud83c\udf54 EARNINGS WATCH \u2022 MCD<\/div>\n<p style=\"margin: 0 0 12px; color: #ffffff; font-size: 20px; line-height: 1.4; font-weight: 800;\">Penjualan AS Diprediksi Turun. Bagaimana Nasib Saham MCD?<\/p>\n<p style=\"margin: 0 0 22px; color: #dce2f5; font-size: 14px; line-height: 1.7;\">McDonald&#8217;s bersiap merilis laporan Q3 2026 di tengah proyeksi pelemahan penjualan AS. Akankah menu baru dan strategi promosi membantu kinerjanya? Pantau saham McDonald&#8217;s (MCD) melalui Nanovest dan ikuti hasil earnings serta kabar pasar terbaru lewat News &amp; Artikel Tips.<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 12px; align-items: center;\">\n<p><a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #7C3AED; color: #ffffff; text-decoration: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; padding: 12px 19px; border-radius: 9px; text-align: center; line-height: 1.5;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/saham-amerika\/MCD\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Cek Saham McDonald&#8217;s (MCD) \u2192<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #FFFFFF; color: #292967; text-decoration: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; padding: 12px 19px; border-radius: 9px; text-align: center; line-height: 1.5;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/blog\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">News &amp; Artikel Tips \u2192<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Penjualan McDonald\u2019s (MCD) diperkirakan masih tumbuh secara global pada kuartal III 2026. Di AS, ceritanya berbeda. Setelah mencatat pertumbuhan pada kuartal sebelumnya, penjualan sebanding di pasar terbesarnya diproyeksikan berbalik turun. Laporan dijadwalkan terbit sebelum bursa AS dibuka pada Rabu, 4 November 2026. Buat investor MCD, pertanyaannya lebih spesifik: apakah menu baru dan promo membuat pelanggan<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":29566,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[80,39],"tags":[74,786,16,52,29],"class_list":["post-29552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-berita","category-saham-as","tag-berita","tag-mcdonalds","tag-saham","tag-saham-as","tag-us-stocks"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.3 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Investor mengusulkan valuasi IPO Anthropic US$1,5-1,6 triliun. 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