{"id":28444,"date":"2026-10-23T13:28:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-23T06:28:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/?p=28444"},"modified":"2026-10-23T13:29:25","modified_gmt":"2026-10-23T06:29:25","slug":"inflasi-jepang-bitcoin-hadapi-risiko-boj","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/inflasi-jepang-bitcoin-hadapi-risiko-boj-28444\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflasi Jepang Tembus 2,1%, Bitcoin Hadapi Risiko BOJ"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inflasi Jepang kembali melampaui 2%, memperkuat perhatian terhadap kemungkinan kenaikan suku bunga Bank of Japan atau BOJ. Bagi pasar kripto, perkembangan ini berkaitan dengan biaya pendanaan global dan posisi investasi yang menggunakan pinjaman yen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Data yang dirilis pada <\/span>23 Oktober 2026<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> menunjukkan inflasi inti Jepang mencapai <\/span><b>2,1% secara tahunan pada September<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, dibandingkan 1,7% pada Agustus.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Angka tersebut sesuai perkiraan pasar dan menjadi pembacaan pertama di atas 2% dalam sembilan bulan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/kripto\/btc\/\"><strong>Bitcoin (BTC<\/strong><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>)<\/strong> ikut menjadi perhatian karena pengetatan kebijakan Jepang dapat memengaruhi selera terhadap aset berisiko. Namun, kenaikan inflasi maupun suku bunga BOJ belum cukup untuk menentukan arah harga Bitcoin tanpa melihat kondisi pasar lainnya.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_89 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Daftar Isi <\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/inflasi-jepang-bitcoin-hadapi-risiko-boj-28444\/#Inflasi_Jepang_21_Tekanan_Harga_Meluas\" >Inflasi Jepang 2,1%, Tekanan Harga Meluas<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/inflasi-jepang-bitcoin-hadapi-risiko-boj-28444\/#Suku_Bunga_BOJ_Sudah_125_Kapan_Naik_Lagi\" >Suku Bunga BOJ Sudah 1,25%, Kapan Naik Lagi?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/inflasi-jepang-bitcoin-hadapi-risiko-boj-28444\/#Mengapa_Kebijakan_Jepang_Bisa_Memengaruhi_Bitcoin\" >Mengapa Kebijakan Jepang Bisa Memengaruhi Bitcoin?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/inflasi-jepang-bitcoin-hadapi-risiko-boj-28444\/#Pelajaran_Gejolak_2024_Perhatikan_Utang_dan_Likuiditas\" >Pelajaran Gejolak 2024: Perhatikan Utang dan Likuiditas<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/inflasi-jepang-bitcoin-hadapi-risiko-boj-28444\/#Agenda_BOJ_dan_The_Fed_yang_Relevan_bagi_BTC\" >Agenda BOJ dan The Fed yang Relevan bagi BTC<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/berita\/inflasi-jepang-bitcoin-hadapi-risiko-boj-28444\/#BOJ_dan_The_Fed_Jadi_Sorotan_Sudah_Pantau_BTC\" >BOJ dan The Fed Jadi Sorotan. Sudah Pantau BTC?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Inflasi_Jepang_21_Tekanan_Harga_Meluas\"><\/span><b>Inflasi Jepang 2,1%, Tekanan Harga Meluas<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Angka inflasi Jepang perlu dibaca berdasarkan komponen yang dihitung. Inflasi inti yang umum digunakan di negara tersebut mengecualikan makanan segar, tetapi masih memasukkan energi.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sementara itu, ukuran yang mengecualikan makanan segar sekaligus energi meningkat menjadi <\/span>2,4% pada September<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, dari 1,9% pada Agustus. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inflasi jasa juga naik menjadi <\/span>1,5%<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, dibandingkan 1,2% sebulan sebelumnya.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Perubahan ini menunjukkan tekanan harga tetap terlihat setelah komponen energi dikeluarkan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Perubahan dari 1,7% menjadi 2,1% berarti laju inflasi inti meningkat <\/span>0,4 poin persentase<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Angka 2,1% sendiri membandingkan harga dengan September tahun sebelumnya, bukan menunjukkan kenaikan harga sebesar itu dalam satu bulan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bagi BOJ, perbedaan tersebut membantu membaca apakah kenaikan harga bersifat sementara atau semakin menyebar. Dalam pernyataan kebijakan September, bank sentral menyoroti berlanjutnya penerusan kenaikan upah ke harga jual serta meningkatnya ekspektasi inflasi.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Suku_Bunga_BOJ_Sudah_125_Kapan_Naik_Lagi\"><\/span><b>Suku Bunga BOJ Sudah 1,25%, Kapan Naik Lagi?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BOJ menetapkan target suku bunga pasar uang overnight sekitar <\/span>1,25%<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> melalui keputusan 18 September 2026. Kebijakan yang disetujui dengan suara 7 berbanding 2 tersebut berlaku mulai 24 September.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Dalam pernyataannya, BOJ membuka ruang untuk melanjutkan kenaikan suku bunga sesuai perkembangan ekonomi, harga, dan kondisi keuangan. Artinya, arah pengetatan telah disampaikan, sedangkan waktu serta kecepatannya tetap bergantung pada penilaian bank sentral.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rapat berikutnya dijadwalkan pada <\/span>29-30 Oktober 2026<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, bersamaan dengan pembaruan proyeksi ekonomi dan harga.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Reuters melaporkan BOJ diperkirakan mempertahankan kebijakan pada pertemuan Oktober, sementara ekspektasi kenaikan berikutnya mengarah ke Desember. Perkiraan tersebut perlu dibedakan dari keputusan resmi yang baru diumumkan setelah rapat selesai.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bagi pasar, keputusan menahan bunga tetap dapat membawa informasi baru apabila BOJ mengubah proyeksi inflasi atau memberikan petunjuk mengenai kenaikan selanjutnya.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Mengapa_Kebijakan_Jepang_Bisa_Memengaruhi_Bitcoin\"><\/span><b>Mengapa Kebijakan Jepang Bisa Memengaruhi Bitcoin?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Salah satu jalurnya adalah <\/span><em><b>yen carry trade<\/b><\/em><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><em>,<\/em> yaitu strategi meminjam dalam yen untuk membiayai investasi pada aset atau mata uang lain. Keuntungan strategi ini bergantung pada hasil investasi, biaya pinjaman, dan perubahan kurs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ketika bunga Jepang naik, biaya pendanaan berpotensi bertambah. Jika yen sekaligus menguat, kewajiban dalam yen menjadi lebih mahal ketika dihitung menggunakan mata uang investasi. Kondisi tersebut dapat mendorong peminjam mengurangi posisi dan membeli kembali yen. Kajian Bank for International Settlements atau BIS menjelaskan bagaimana pembongkaran posisi carry trade dapat memperbesar gejolak pasar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sebagai ilustrasi, pinjaman \u00a516 juta setara US$<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">100.000 pada kurs \u00a5160 per dolar. Jika kurs berubah menjadi \u00a5144 per dolar, pokok pinjaman yang sama menjadi sekitar US$<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">111.111. Kewajiban dalam dolar meningkat sekitar 11,1%, sebelum memperhitungkan bunga. Ini merupakan contoh perhitungan, bukan proyeksi kurs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Implikasinya bagi Bitcoin bersifat tidak langsung. Apabila investor yang memiliki BTC perlu mengurangi utang atau memenuhi kebutuhan jaminan, mereka dapat menjual sebagian asetnya. Namun, mekanisme tersebut tidak membuktikan bahwa seluruh pembelian Bitcoin dibiayai pinjaman yen.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Pelajaran_Gejolak_2024_Perhatikan_Utang_dan_Likuiditas\"><\/span><b>Pelajaran Gejolak 2024: Perhatikan Utang dan Likuiditas<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gejolak Agustus 2024 sering dijadikan pembanding ketika pasar membahas risiko kenaikan bunga Jepang. Meski demikian, kajian BIS menunjukkan peristiwa tersebut melibatkan interaksi antara kabar ekonomi dan posisi investasi berutang.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Menurut BIS, pembongkaran transaksi berleverage di pasar saham serta valuta asing memperbesar reaksi awal terhadap rilis ekonomi AS yang negatif. Tekanan pengurangan utang juga menghantam carry trade, sebelum pasar kembali stabil dan volatilitas mereda.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BIS memperkirakan skala carry trade menjelang peristiwa itu berada di kisaran <\/span>\u00a540 triliun atau US$250 miliar<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, dengan keterbatasan data yang cukup besar. Angka tersebut menggambarkan estimasi strategi lintas pasar, sehingga tidak dapat diperlakukan sebagai jumlah dana yang masuk ke Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pelajaran bagi pembaca pasar kripto adalah pentingnya melihat besarnya penggunaan utang dan kemampuan pasar menyerap penjualan. Menggunakan persentase penurunan pada satu episode sebagai perkiraan otomatis untuk rapat BOJ berikutnya mengabaikan perbedaan kondisi tersebut.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Agenda_BOJ_dan_The_Fed_yang_Relevan_bagi_BTC\"><\/span><b>Agenda BOJ dan The Fed yang Relevan bagi BTC<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Perhatian pasar berikutnya tertuju pada rapat Federal Reserve pada <\/span>27-28 Oktober<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, kemudian BOJ pada <\/span>29-30 Oktober 2026<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pada Desember, rapat The Fed berlangsung <\/span>8-9 Desember<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, disusul BOJ pada <\/span>17-18 Desember<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Jadwal tersebut tercantum dalam kalender resmi kedua bank sentral.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Hubungan kebijakan keduanya perlu dibaca bersama. Secara mekanis, jika suku bunga AS dan Jepang sama-sama naik dengan besaran setara, selisih bunga nominalnya tetap. Namun, biaya pendanaan absolut meningkat dan risiko perubahan kurs tetap ada. Selisih bunga yang tidak berubah belum menjamin posisi carry trade akan dipertahankan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sebagai konteks pasar, BeInCrypto mencatat Bitcoin berada di sekitar <\/span>US$81.293<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, turun 3,16% dalam 24 jam<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Angka ini merupakan potret saat publikasi, bukan harga yang berlaku sepanjang hari.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bagi yang mengikuti <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/nanovest.go.link\/?adj_t=1gw8usmw\"><b>Bitcoin (BTC)<\/b><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, informasi berikutnya yang relevan adalah keputusan bunga, proyeksi inflasi BOJ, dan respons yen setelah pengumuman. Risiko terhadap harga muncul melalui perubahan kondisi pendanaan serta posisi pasar, sehingga hasil rapat perlu dibaca bersama reaksi aktual aset dan mata uang.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"background: linear-gradient(135deg,#19233F 0%,#292967 100%); border-radius: 20px; padding: 28px 24px; margin: 32px 0; box-sizing: border-box; text-align: left;\">\n<div style=\"display: inline-block; background: #303A59; border: 1px solid #56617D; border-radius: 999px; padding: 7px 14px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: #eaf0ff; font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.4;\">\u20bf Bitcoin (BTC) \u2022 Update Pasar Kripto<\/div>\n<h3 style=\"margin: 0 0 12px; color: #ffffff; font-size: 22px; line-height: 1.35; font-weight: 800;\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"BOJ_dan_The_Fed_Jadi_Sorotan_Sudah_Pantau_BTC\"><\/span>BOJ dan The Fed Jadi Sorotan. Sudah Pantau BTC?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p style=\"margin: 0 0 24px; color: #dce2f5; font-size: 15px; line-height: 1.7;\">Keputusan suku bunga Jepang dan AS berpotensi memengaruhi sentimen pasar kripto. Pantau pergerakan Bitcoin (BTC) melalui Nanovest dan ikuti berita terbaru untuk memahami perkembangan pasar sebelum mengambil keputusan investasi.<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 12px; align-items: center;\">\n<p><a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #7C3AED; color: #ffffff; text-decoration: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; padding: 12px 19px; border-radius: 9px; text-align: center; line-height: 1.5;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/kripto\/btc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pantau Bitcoin (BTC) \u2192<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #FFFFFF; color: #292967; text-decoration: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; padding: 12px 19px; border-radius: 9px; text-align: center; line-height: 1.5;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io\/blog\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">News &amp; Artikel Tips \u2192<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p style=\"margin: 20px 0 0; color: #b8c2dd; font-size: 11px; line-height: 1.6;\">Investasi aset kripto mengandung risiko tinggi, termasuk volatilitas harga dan potensi kehilangan modal. Lakukan riset dan sesuaikan keputusan investasi dengan profil risikomu.<span style=\"color: #333333; font-size: 14px;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Inflasi Jepang kembali melampaui 2%, memperkuat perhatian terhadap kemungkinan kenaikan suku bunga Bank of Japan atau BOJ. Bagi pasar kripto, perkembangan ini berkaitan dengan biaya pendanaan global dan posisi investasi yang menggunakan pinjaman yen. Data yang dirilis pada 23 Oktober 2026 menunjukkan inflasi inti Jepang mencapai 2,1% secara tahunan pada September, dibandingkan 1,7% pada Agustus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":28452,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[80,38],"tags":[74,63,95,26],"class_list":["post-28444","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-berita","category-kripto","tag-berita","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-crypto"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.3 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Inflasi inti Jepang naik ke 2,1%. 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