{"id":19276,"date":"2025-11-27T13:10:33","date_gmt":"2025-11-27T06:10:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/?p=19276"},"modified":"2025-11-28T00:11:18","modified_gmt":"2025-11-27T17:11:18","slug":"bitcoin-tembus-90-000-namun-analis-peringatkan-rebound-masih-rawan-gagal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/kripto\/bitcoin-tembus-90-000-namun-analis-peringatkan-rebound-masih-rawan-gagal-19276\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Tembus $90.000, Namun Analis Peringatkan Rebound Masih Rawan Gagal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin kembali melesat di atas $90.000 pada Rabu, menandai upaya pemulihan setelah anjlok ke level terendah empat bulan pekan lalu. Namun, sejumlah ekonom dan analis mengingatkan bahwa lonjakan ini belum cukup menjadi tanda kebangkitan kuat bagi pasar kripto.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kenaikan ini terjadi di tengah menguatnya S&amp;P 500 dan Nasdaq Composite, yang berhasil mencatatkan empat hari penguatan seiring meningkatnya ekspektasi investor bahwa Federal Reserve akan menurunkan suku bunga pada Desember.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Namun menurut Torsten Slok, Chief Economist Apollo Management, hubungan Bitcoin dengan saham teknologi sedang mengalami \u201ckeretakan serius\u201d. Biasanya keduanya bergerak searah, tetapi dalam beberapa pekan terakhir Bitcoin mencatat penurunan jauh lebih tajam dibanding Nasdaq sebuah sinyal bahwa pasar kripto memiliki tekanan internal yang berbeda.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_86 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Daftar Isi <\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/kripto\/bitcoin-tembus-90-000-namun-analis-peringatkan-rebound-masih-rawan-gagal-19276\/#Rebound_Bitcoin_Dianggap_Rapuh_Jauh_dari_Pola_V-Shape\" >Rebound Bitcoin Dianggap Rapuh, Jauh dari Pola V-Shape<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/kripto\/bitcoin-tembus-90-000-namun-analis-peringatkan-rebound-masih-rawan-gagal-19276\/#Likuiditas_Meningkat_Belum_Tentu_Mendorong_Bitcoin\" >Likuiditas Meningkat Belum Tentu Mendorong Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/kripto\/bitcoin-tembus-90-000-namun-analis-peringatkan-rebound-masih-rawan-gagal-19276\/#Bitcoin_Berisiko_Turun_Lagi_ke_82000%E2%80%9380000\" >Bitcoin Berisiko Turun Lagi ke $82.000\u2013$80.000<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/kripto\/bitcoin-tembus-90-000-namun-analis-peringatkan-rebound-masih-rawan-gagal-19276\/#Apa_yang_Membuat_Bitcoin_Rawan_Volatilitas_Saat_Ini\" >Apa yang Membuat Bitcoin Rawan Volatilitas Saat Ini?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nanovest.io/blog\/kripto\/bitcoin-tembus-90-000-namun-analis-peringatkan-rebound-masih-rawan-gagal-19276\/#Akhir_2025_%E2%80%93_Awal_2026\" >Akhir 2025 \u2013 Awal 2026<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rebound_Bitcoin_Dianggap_Rapuh_Jauh_dari_Pola_V-Shape\"><\/span><b>Rebound Bitcoin Dianggap Rapuh, Jauh dari Pola V-Shape<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Meski menanjak dari level $81.000 pekan lalu, Bitcoin masih 28% di bawah rekor tertinggi $126.000 yang dicapai Oktober lalu. Laporan dari 10X Research menyebut penguatan kuartal keempat biasanya menjadi momentum Bitcoin, tetapi sejarah menunjukkan hal itu \u201cjarang terjadi tanpa katalis yang kuat\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sementara ekspektasi pemotongan suku bunga Desember meningkat, 10X Research menekankan bahwa komunikasi Ketua The Fed Jerome Powell justru lebih berdampak pada arah harga Bitcoin ketimbang aksi pemotongan itu sendiri.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">\u201cBitcoin sangat bergantung pada arah komunikasi The Fed. Jika The Fed tidak memotong suku bunga, risiko koreksi tajam pasar semakin besar,\u201d tulis 10X Research.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Likuiditas_Meningkat_Belum_Tentu_Mendorong_Bitcoin\"><\/span><b>Likuiditas Meningkat Belum Tentu Mendorong Bitcoin<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sejumlah investor sebelumnya berharap belanja dari Treasury General Account (TGA) dapat meningkatkan likuiditas pasar. Namun riset terbaru membantah pandangan tersebut.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ketika TGA merilis dana sekitar $522 miliar sebelumnya, Bitcoin justru jatuh 15% sebelum akhirnya pulih dua bulan kemudian. Dengan TGA yang masih berada di level tinggi saat ini, analis melihat potensi lag waktu hingga Januari 2026 sebelum efek likuiditas benar-benar berdampak.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Artinya, pasar kripto dapat memasuki fase konsolidasi panjang, bukan rally jangka pendek.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_Berisiko_Turun_Lagi_ke_82000%E2%80%9380000\"><\/span><b>Bitcoin Berisiko Turun Lagi ke $82.000\u2013$80.000<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Analis dari Compass Point, Ed Engel, menolak menyebut bahwa pasar telah menyentuh dasar. Ia menyebut karakteristik bear market adalah relief rally yang cepat lalu diikuti aksi jual agresif.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Menurut Engel, Bitcoin berpotensi menghadapi resistensi kuat di kisaran $92.000\u2013$95.000, dan masih ada kemungkinan harga kembali menguji area $82.000, bahkan turun di bawah $80.000.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Namun, ia menambahkan bahwa zona $65.000\u2013$70.000 tetap menjadi \u201csupport kokoh\u201d jika terjadi koreksi yang lebih dalam.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Apa_yang_Membuat_Bitcoin_Rawan_Volatilitas_Saat_Ini\"><\/span><b>Apa yang Membuat Bitcoin Rawan Volatilitas Saat Ini?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<ol>\n<li><b> Ketidakpastian Kebijakan The Fed<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pasar kripto sangat sensitif terhadap sinyal arah suku bunga. Ketidakpastian ini menciptakan volatilitas tambahan di BTC.<\/span><\/p>\n<ol start=\"2\">\n<li><b> Melemahnya Korelasi Bitcoin\u2013Teknologi<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Biasanya kenaikan saham teknologi mendorong Bitcoin, namun saat ini korelasinya melemah tanda investor mengalihkan risiko dari pasar kripto.<\/span><\/p>\n<ol start=\"3\">\n<li><b> Aktivitas HODLer Menurun<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Belum terlihat akumulasi kuat dari pemegang jangka panjang, menandakan pasar belum sepenuhnya percaya pada tren bullish.<\/span><\/p>\n<ol start=\"4\">\n<li><b> Masuknya Siklus Post-Halving<\/b><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Historisnya, Bitcoin sering melewati fase stagnasi 6\u201312 bulan setelah halving sebelum memasuki bullish utama.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Akhir_2025_%E2%80%93_Awal_2026\"><\/span><b>Akhir 2025 \u2013 Awal 2026<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jika pola historis dan kondisi likuiditas AS berulang, Bitcoin berpotensi:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Konsolidasi hingga awal 2026, menguji support $70.000 atau lebih rendah, kemudian membentuk struktur bullish yang lebih stabil setelah pasar mengetahui arah kebijakan moneter Fed dan arah belanja TGA.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Namun potensi breakout baru dapat muncul jika:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Suku bunga mulai dipangkas secara konsisten, likuiditas meningkat tanpa jeda, atau akumulasi HODLer tumbuh signifikan.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin menembus $90.000 di tengah rebound pasar, namun analis memperingatkan risiko koreksi baru. Sentimen The Fed dan likuiditas TGA jadi penentu arah harga selanjutnya.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":19277,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[12,74,63,26,78],"class_list":["post-19276","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-kripto","tag-aset-kripto","tag-berita","tag-bitcoin","tag-crypto","tag-kripto"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin menembus $90.000 di tengah rebound pasar, namun analis memperingatkan risiko koreksi baru. 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